学习目标
- 了解第四题的题型和评分标准
- 掌握四段式回答模板，有条理地组织您的预测
- 正确使用将来时和情态动词来表达可能性
- 运用推测短语展示批判性思维能力
- 练习在60秒内完成一段完整的预测回答
概览
- 题型: 预测接下来会发生什么
- 准备时间: 30秒
- 作答时间: 60秒
- 考查重点: 将来时与逻辑推理
第四题考查您分析情景并做出合理预测的能力。您会看到一张图片，展示人们处于某个特定场景中，然后需要预测接下来可能发生什么。
拿到高分的关键在于提出两个不同的预测，并为每个预测给出清晰的理由。考官会重点评估您的将来时使用准确性、逻辑思维能力和词汇丰富程度。
了解题目格式
您有30秒的准备时间来观察图片。图片通常展示的是正在进行某种活动的人物：即将做出决定、面对问题，或正在开始某项活动。
您的任务是根据图片中的视觉线索，预测接下来会发生什么。作答必须持续完整的60秒，不要重复已经说过的内容。
考官评估要点
CLB 9+水平的考生会做出具体而详细的预测，并配合精妙的推理。他们会使用多种情态动词（might、could、may、will probably），并将预测与图片中可观察到的细节联系起来。
常见图片场景
- 某人在商店或餐厅做选择
- 某人在职场中遇到挑战或问题
- 朋友们一起策划活动
- 某人在为活动或旅行做准备
- 某人应对天气或环境变化
四段式回答模板
将60秒的回答分为四个清晰的部分。这个模板确保您涵盖所有要求，而不会偏题散漫。
一、描述当前情景（10-15秒）
首先简要描述您看到的内容。这既展示了您的理解能力，也为接下来的预测提供了背景。
示例开头： “In this image, I can see a young woman standing in a bookstore, holding two different books and looking at them carefully.”
二、第一个预测+理由（20秒）
做出您的第一个预测，并解释为什么您认为事情会这样发展。将推理与图片中的具体细节联系起来。
示例： “I predict that she will probably purchase the book in her right hand. It looks like a novel based on the colourful cover, and her facial expression suggests she’s more interested in this one.”
高质量的预测一定包含从图片中观察到的证据，以及基于人类行为或常见场景的逻辑推理。
三、第二个预测+理由（20秒）
提出一个不同角度的预测，配合不同的推理。这展示了批判性思维，能获得更高的分数。
示例： “On the other hand, she might decide not to buy either book today. Perhaps she’s on a budget or wants to check reviews online first before making her final decision.”
四、总结收尾（5-10秒）
用简短的总结或最终观察来结束回答。这标志着回答的完成，让整体更加完整。
示例： “Whatever she decides, it’s clear she’s taking her time to make a thoughtful choice.”
时间分配陷阱
不要急于说完第一、二部分后留下30秒的沉默。请配合计时器练习，直到每个段落自然衔接，恰好填满60秒。
核心语法：将来时与情态动词
第四题要求您准确使用将来时和情态动词来表达不同程度的确定性。
用于预测的情态动词
- Will / will probably：高度确定（80-90%）
- Might / may / could：中等确定（40-60%）
- Might not / may not：否定可能性
- Is likely to / is unlikely to：正式的概率表达
示例：
- “He will likely ask his friend for advice.”
- “They might decide to postpone their plans.”
- “She could choose the less expensive option.”
- “The weather may not improve by afternoon.”
推测短语
这些短语能够自然地引出预测，展示您的分析思维能力：
- “It looks like…”
- “Based on what I see…”
- “I predict that…”
- “It seems likely that…”
- “There’s a good chance…”
- “It appears that…”
- “Judging by…”
语法要点清单
- 在回答中至少使用三种不同的情态动词
- 将情态动词与 probably/likely 搭配使用，使预测更加细腻
- 使用两到三个推测短语来引出您的预测
- 全程保持一致的将来时间框架
- 讨论将要发生的事情时，避免使用一般现在时
策略：做出合理的预测
您的预测必须合理且具体。避免模糊的陈述或缺乏根据的猜测。
分析视觉线索
在30秒准备时间内，留意以下细节：
- 面部表情：开心、担心、困惑还是兴奋？
- 肢体语言：在指向什么、犹豫不决还是伸手拿东西？
- 物品和环境：有什么可用的？场景设定在哪里？
- 其他人物：涉及哪些人？他们在做什么？
- 背景线索：什么季节、什么时间、什么类型的地点？
建立因果推理
将您看到的内容与合理的结果联系起来：
视觉线索： 一个人手拿雨伞，望着乌云 预测： “It will probably start raining soon, so she’ll open her umbrella.”
视觉线索： 一个学生被教科书包围，看起来很疲惫 预测： “He might take a break because he appears exhausted from studying.”
提高分数的技巧
CLB 10+水平的回答包含对比性预测（乐观与现实，或两种不同但同样合理的结果）。使用过渡短语如”On the other hand”或”Alternatively”来引出您的第二个预测。
练习题与范文
练习：做出预测
Prompt: Predict what will happen next in this situation.
查看范文 →
范文（CLB 9-10）：
“In this image, I can see a businessman in a coffee shop checking his watch, and he looks quite worried. There’s heavy traffic visible through the window behind him.
I predict that he will probably leave the coffee shop immediately and try to find an alternative route to his destination. Based on his concerned facial expression and the fact that he’s checking the time, it seems likely he’s running late for an important meeting or appointment. He might use a navigation app on his phone to avoid the traffic congestion.
On the other hand, he could decide to stay in the coffee shop and contact his colleagues or clients to let them know he’ll be delayed. This would be the sensible option if the traffic is too heavy to navigate quickly. He may even suggest rescheduling the meeting or conducting it virtually instead.
Whatever he chooses, it’s clear that the traffic situation has created a stressful problem that requires immediate action.”
这篇范文好在哪里：
- 清晰的四段式结构（描述情景 → 预测一 → 预测二 → 总结）
- 使用多种情态动词（will probably、might、could、may）
- 推理紧密联系图片中可观察到的细节
- 预测之间的过渡自然流畅
- 时间恰好60秒，没有多余的填充内容
练习：求职面试场景预测
Prompt: Predict what will happen next in this situation.
查看范文 →
范文（CLB 9-10）：
“In this image, I can see a young woman who appears to be in the middle of a job interview. She’s dressed professionally and seems confident, using hand gestures as she responds to a question. Two interviewers are seated across from her, one taking notes and the other reviewing her resume.
I predict that the interview will probably go well for this candidate. Based on the fact that the interviewer on the left is nodding while writing, it seems likely that he’s impressed with her answers. Her relaxed body language and natural smile suggest she has prepared thoroughly, so there’s a good chance she will move on to the next round of the hiring process.
Alternatively, the interviewers could shift to more challenging questions in the coming minutes. Given that the second interviewer is still reviewing her resume, he might ask her to elaborate on specific work experience or explain a gap in her employment history. This could change the dynamic of the conversation and put more pressure on the candidate.
Regardless of the outcome, it’s clear that she has made a strong first impression, and the rest of the interview will likely depend on how she handles the tougher questions ahead.”
这篇范文好在哪里：
- 开头用具体的视觉细节描述当前场景
- 第一个预测将可观察到的线索（点头、记笔记）与合理结果联系起来
- 第二个预测提供了一个截然不同的方向，而不是换个说法重复
- 全篇使用多种情态动词：“will probably”、“seems likely”、“could”、“might”
- 推测短语运用自然：“Based on the fact that”、“Given that”、“There’s a good chance”
- 结尾总结将两个预测有机地串联在一起
练习：户外活动遇雨场景预测
Prompt: Predict what will happen next in this situation.
查看范文 →
范文（CLB 9-10）：
“This image shows an outdoor community barbecue in a park, but the weather is clearly about to change. Dark clouds are rolling in, the trees are bending from the wind, and several people are already reacting to the conditions.
It looks like rain is going to arrive very soon, so I predict the organizers will probably start moving everything under the large tent in the background. The two volunteers who are already folding up the banner seem to be preparing for this, and the man grilling burgers will likely cover the grill or relocate it to a sheltered area. Judging by his worried expression, he’s already thinking about how to protect the food.
On the other hand, there’s a possibility that the families at the picnic tables may decide to leave the event entirely. The woman reaching for her jacket is a clear sign that people are getting uncomfortable, and if the rain is heavy, it could be difficult to fit everyone under the tent. Some families might choose to pack up their belongings and head to their cars rather than wait out the storm.
Either way, the relaxed atmosphere of this barbecue is about to change dramatically, and the next few minutes will likely be quite hectic as everyone scrambles to respond to the weather.”
这篇范文好在哪里：
- 简明扼要地描述场景，突出核心视觉张力（暴风雨即将来临）
- 第一个预测具体且基于可观察到的行为（志愿者折叠横幅、厨师抬头观望）
- 第二个预测形成有意义的对比：留下还是离开
- 使用多种推测短语：“It looks like”、“Judging by”、“There’s a possibility”
- 情态动词丰富多样：“will probably”、“will likely”、“may decide”、“might choose”、“could be”
- 结尾回扣核心张力，自然收束
自我检测
- 我用10-15秒描述了当前情景
- 我做出了两个有不同推理角度的预测
- 我至少使用了三种不同的情态动词（will、might、could、may）
- 我使用了推测短语，如"It looks like"或"Based on what I see"
- 我将预测与图片中的具体细节联系了起来
- 我在60秒内持续作答，没有长时间停顿
达标五到六项 = CLB 9+，达标三到四项 = CLB 7-8
常见错误
预测中的常见陷阱
不要只描述当下： 第四题要求对未来做预测，而不是用一般现在时描述图片。不要做不切实际的预测： 保持场景合理且符合逻辑。不要重复同一个想法： 两个预测必须是真正不同的，而不是同一结论的换种说法。
请用各种不同的图片反复练习这个题型，直到四段式结构成为您的本能反应。出色的预测能力展示了高级批判性思维，这正是CLB 9+水平的关键指标。